Will annual euro-area inflation for October 2026 be at least 3.0%?

YES 50%

NO 50%

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Current probability

Probability is discovered by the market and changes as new positions and information arrive.

50%

50.0%There is not enough probability history yet.

Fechamento das negociações

Nov 4, 2026, 2:55 PM

24h virtual volume

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Participants

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RULES & RESOLUTION

How this market will be decided

Contract · v3

Resolves YES

Resolves YES if the condition defined in the resolution rule is met.

Resolves NO

Resolves NO if the condition defined in the resolution rule is not met.

PRIMARY SOURCE

Eurostat — euro area annual inflation flash estimate

Resolves YES if Eurostat reports annual euro-area HICP inflation for October 2026 of at least 3.0% in the first official estimate; otherwise NO.

Fallback source: Banco Central Europeu para confirmação cruzada

KEY DATES

Fechamento das negociaçõesNov 4, 2026, 2:55 PM

Expected resolutionNov 4, 2026, 3:30 PM

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Critical dates

PublishedSep 8, 2026, 4:04 AM

Trading open—

Fechamento das negociaçõesNov 4, 2026, 2:55 PM

Event end / observationNov 4, 2026, 3:00 PM

Expected resolutionNov 4, 2026, 3:30 PM

TimezoneEurope/Brussels

Special conditions

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Anulação

VOID somente quando o resultado não puder ser determinado objetivamente pela regra e pelas fontes aprovadas.

Cancelamento

CANCELLED somente por decisão excepcional de governança auditada.

Interpretation clause

Preservar exatamente o critério objetivo aprovado pelo Admin.

Economic modesPRY Virtual · RESOLVED · YES

COMMUNITY

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