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Market conversation
Política e eleiçõesIsraelTRADING CLOSEDBINARY
MARKET IN PLAY

Will Benjamin Netanyahu be sworn in as Prime Minister of Israel after the October 27, 2026 parliamentary election?

YES 50%
NO 50%
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Current probability

Probability is discovered by the market and changes as new positions and information arrive.

50%
1M
50.0%There is not enough probability history yet.
Fechamento das negociações
Oct 26, 2026, 11:55 PM
24h virtual volume
— PRY
Participants
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RULES & RESOLUTION

How this market will be decided

Contract · v5
Resolves YES

Netanyahu will be formally sworn in after the election.

Resolves NO

Someone else will be sworn in, or Netanyahu will not take office by the deadline.

PRIMARY SOURCE
Government of Israel / Knesset

Resolve YES if Benjamin Netanyahu is officially sworn in as Prime Minister of Israel after the October 27, 2026 parliamentary election. An acting or transitional role does not count. Otherwise, resolve NO.

Fallback source: Israel Central Elections Committee / Reuters para confirmação
KEY DATES
Fechamento das negociaçõesOct 26, 2026, 11:55 PM
Expected resolutionDec 31, 2026, 8:00 PM
Open market conversation
View full rules and special conditions

Critical dates

PublishedSep 9, 2026, 4:01 AM
Trading open—
Fechamento das negociaçõesOct 26, 2026, 11:55 PM
Event end / observation—
Expected resolutionDec 31, 2026, 8:00 PM
TimezoneAsia/Jerusalem

Special conditions

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Anulação

VOID somente quando o resultado não puder ser determinado objetivamente pela regra e pelas fontes aprovadas.

Cancelamento

CANCELLED somente por decisão excepcional de governança auditada.

Interpretation clause

Preservar exatamente o critério objetivo aprovado pelo Admin.

Economic modesPRY Virtual · TRADING CLOSED
COMMUNITY

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YES
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NO
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PRYTRADING CLOSED
TRADING CLOSED

This market no longer accepts new positions.

The result will be finalized after the event ends, according to the current contract.

Last quote before closeYES 50% · NO 50%
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