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Market conversation
EconomiaGlobalOPENBINARY
MARKET IN PLAY

Will the EWZ ETF close above $45 on October 30, 2026?

YES 50%
NO 50%
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Current probability

Probability is discovered by the market and changes as new positions and information arrive.

50%
1M
50.0%There is not enough probability history yet.
Fechamento das negociações
Oct 30, 2026, 3:55 PM
24h virtual volume
— PRY
Participants
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RULES & RESOLUTION

How this market will be decided

Contract · v1
Resolves YES

YES if the official unadjusted regular-session closing price of EWZ on its primary U.S. exchange is strictly above $45.

Resolves NO

NO if it is $45 or below.

PRIMARY SOURCE
Bolsa principal dos EUA — fechamento oficial EWZ

Resolves YES if the official unadjusted regular-session closing price of the EWZ ETF on its primary U.S. exchange on October 30, 2026 is strictly above $45. Resolves NO if it is equal to or below. After-hours trading does not count. If there is no regular session that day due to an extraordinary market-wide suspension, apply the VOID rule.

Fallback source: Nasdaq/NYSE Arca — histórico oficial
KEY DATES
Fechamento das negociaçõesOct 30, 2026, 3:55 PM
Expected resolutionOct 30, 2026, 5:00 PM
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View full rules and special conditions

Critical dates

PublishedSep 9, 2026, 12:09 AM
Trading open—
Fechamento das negociaçõesOct 30, 2026, 3:55 PM
Event end / observationOct 30, 2026, 4:00 PM
Expected resolutionOct 30, 2026, 5:00 PM
TimezoneAmerica/New_York

Special conditions

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Anulação

VOID somente se o fato não puder ser determinado objetivamente pela regra e pelas fontes aprovadas, inclusive por indisponibilidade definitiva do dado de referência.

Cancelamento

CANCELLED somente por decisão excepcional de governança auditada.

Interpretation clause

Aplicar literalmente o critério objetivo do contrato e a fonte indicada, sem inferir critérios adicionais.

Economic modesPRY Virtual · ACTIVE
COMMUNITY

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