In the October 27, 2026 release, will annual euro-area M3 growth for September exceed 3.0%?

YES 50%

NO 50%

0discussions 0analyses 0comments Join debate →

Current probability

Probability is discovered by the market and changes as new positions and information arrive.

50%

50.0%There is not enough probability history yet.

Fechamento das negociações

Oct 27, 2026, 7:30 AM

24h virtual volume

— PRY

Participants

—

RULES & RESOLUTION

How this market will be decided

Contract · v4

Resolves YES

Annual M3 growth will exceed 3.0%.

Resolves NO

Annual M3 growth will be 3.0% or lower.

PRIMARY SOURCE

European Central Bank — Monetary developments in the euro area

Resolve YES if the ECB reports annual growth in the M3 monetary aggregate above 3.0% for September 2026; otherwise, resolve NO.

Fallback source: ECB Data Portal

KEY DATES

Fechamento das negociaçõesOct 27, 2026, 7:30 AM

Expected resolutionOct 27, 2026, 11:00 AM

Open market conversation

View full rules and special conditions

Critical dates

PublishedSep 9, 2026, 3:31 AM

Trading open—

Fechamento das negociaçõesOct 27, 2026, 7:30 AM

Event end / observationOct 27, 2026, 9:00 AM

Expected resolutionOct 27, 2026, 11:00 AM

TimezoneUTC

Special conditions

—

Anulação

VOID somente quando o resultado não puder ser determinado objetivamente pela regra e pelas fontes aprovadas.

Cancelamento

CANCELLED somente por decisão excepcional de governança auditada.

Interpretation clause

Preservar exatamente o critério objetivo aprovado pelo Admin.

Economic modesPRY Virtual · ACTIVE

COMMUNITY

This market conversation

Share theses and sources. Comments do not change the contract.

Open Community

0 discussions0 analyses0 comments

There is no debate on this market yet.Be one of the first to put your thesis to the test.Join debate

Comment on this market

Your comment