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Market conversation
EconomiaZona do EuroOPENBINARY
MARKET IN PLAY

Will the ECB’s October 27, 2026 bank lending survey show a net tightening of credit standards for firms?

YES 50%
NO 50%
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Current probability

Probability is discovered by the market and changes as new positions and information arrive.

50%
1M
50.0%There is not enough probability history yet.
Fechamento das negociações
Oct 27, 2026, 7:30 AM
24h virtual volume
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Participants
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RULES & RESOLUTION

How this market will be decided

Contract · v4
Resolves YES

The survey will show a net tightening of credit standards for firms.

Resolves NO

The survey will not show a net tightening.

PRIMARY SOURCE
European Central Bank — Euro Area Bank Lending Survey

Resolve YES if the ECB Euro Area Bank Lending Survey indicates a net tightening of credit standards for loans to firms in the reported reference period. Resolve NO if it indicates a net easing or no net change.

Fallback source: ECB press release / data tables
KEY DATES
Fechamento das negociaçõesOct 27, 2026, 7:30 AM
Expected resolutionOct 27, 2026, 11:00 AM
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View full rules and special conditions

Critical dates

PublishedSep 9, 2026, 3:32 AM
Trading open—
Fechamento das negociaçõesOct 27, 2026, 7:30 AM
Event end / observationOct 27, 2026, 9:00 AM
Expected resolutionOct 27, 2026, 11:00 AM
TimezoneUTC

Special conditions

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Anulação

VOID somente quando o resultado não puder ser determinado objetivamente pela regra e pelas fontes aprovadas.

Cancelamento

CANCELLED somente por decisão excepcional de governança auditada.

Interpretation clause

Preservar exatamente o critério objetivo aprovado pelo Admin.

Economic modesPRY Virtual · ACTIVE
COMMUNITY

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