Will the Bank of Canada cut its policy rate by exactly 0.25 percentage point in the October 28, 2026 decision?

YES 50%

NO 50%

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Current probability

Probability is discovered by the market and changes as new positions and information arrive.

50%

50.0%There is not enough probability history yet.

Fechamento das negociações

Oct 28, 2026, 9:40 AM

24h virtual volume

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Participants

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RULES & RESOLUTION

How this market will be decided

Contract · v3

Resolves YES

YES if the Bank of Canada cuts the overnight rate by exactly 25 basis points.

Resolves NO

NO otherwise.

PRIMARY SOURCE

Bank of Canada — interest rate announcement

Resolves YES if the Bank of Canada announces on October 28, 2026 a reduction of exactly 25 basis points in the overnight rate; otherwise NO.

Fallback source: Bank of Canada press release

KEY DATES

Fechamento das negociaçõesOct 28, 2026, 9:40 AM

Expected resolutionOct 28, 2026, 10:00 AM

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Critical dates

PublishedSep 8, 2026, 6:51 PM

Trading open—

Fechamento das negociaçõesOct 28, 2026, 9:40 AM

Event end / observationOct 28, 2026, 9:45 AM

Expected resolutionOct 28, 2026, 10:00 AM

TimezoneAmerica/Toronto

Special conditions

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Anulação

VOID somente quando o resultado não puder ser determinado objetivamente pela regra e pelas fontes aprovadas.

Cancelamento

CANCELLED somente por decisão excepcional de governança auditada.

Interpretation clause

Preservar exatamente o critério objetivo aprovado pelo Admin.

Economic modesPRY Virtual · ACTIVE

COMMUNITY

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