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Market conversation
EconomiaBrasilTRADING CLOSEDBINARY
MARKET IN PLAY

Will Copom keep the Selic rate unchanged at the November 4, 2026 meeting?

YES 50%
NO 50%
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Current probability

Probability is discovered by the market and changes as new positions and information arrive.

50%
1M
50.0%There is not enough probability history yet.
Fechamento das negociações
Nov 4, 2026, 6:25 PM
24h virtual volume
— PRY
Participants
—
RULES & RESOLUTION

How this market will be decided

Contract · v3
Resolves YES

YES if the Selic target is maintained.

Resolves NO

NO if the Selic target is changed.

PRIMARY SOURCE
Banco Central do Brasil — Comunicado do Copom

Resolves YES if Copom announces on November 4, 2026 that the Selic target remains at the same level in force before the meeting; otherwise NO.

Fallback source: Ata do Copom
KEY DATES
Fechamento das negociaçõesNov 4, 2026, 6:25 PM
Expected resolutionNov 4, 2026, 7:00 PM
Open market conversation
View full rules and special conditions

Critical dates

PublishedSep 8, 2026, 6:51 PM
Trading open—
Fechamento das negociaçõesNov 4, 2026, 6:25 PM
Event end / observationNov 4, 2026, 6:30 PM
Expected resolutionNov 4, 2026, 7:00 PM
TimezoneAmerica/Sao_Paulo

Special conditions

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Anulação

VOID somente quando o resultado não puder ser determinado objetivamente pela regra e pelas fontes aprovadas.

Cancelamento

CANCELLED somente por decisão excepcional de governança auditada.

Interpretation clause

Preservar exatamente o critério objetivo aprovado pelo Admin.

Economic modesPRY Virtual · TRADING CLOSED
COMMUNITY

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YES
50%
NO
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The result will be finalized after the event ends, according to the current contract.

Last quote before closeYES 50% · NO 50%
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