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Market conversation
EconomiaEstados UnidosOPENBINARY
MARKET IN PLAY

Will the Federal Reserve cut interest rates by exactly 0.25 percentage point at the October 28, 2026 meeting?

YES 50%
NO 50%
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Current probability

Probability is discovered by the market and changes as new positions and information arrive.

50%
1M
50.0%There is not enough probability history yet.
Fechamento das negociações
Oct 28, 2026, 1:55 PM
24h virtual volume
— PRY
Participants
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RULES & RESOLUTION

How this market will be decided

Contract · v3
Resolves YES

YES if the Fed cuts by exactly 25 basis points.

Resolves NO

NO otherwise.

PRIMARY SOURCE
Federal Reserve — FOMC statement

Resolves YES if the FOMC announces on October 28, 2026 a reduction of exactly 25 basis points in the target range for the federal funds rate relative to the immediately previous level; otherwise NO.

Fallback source: Federal Reserve implementation note
KEY DATES
Fechamento das negociaçõesOct 28, 2026, 1:55 PM
Expected resolutionOct 28, 2026, 3:00 PM
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View full rules and special conditions

Critical dates

PublishedSep 8, 2026, 10:09 PM
Trading open—
Fechamento das negociaçõesOct 28, 2026, 1:55 PM
Event end / observationOct 28, 2026, 2:00 PM
Expected resolutionOct 28, 2026, 3:00 PM
TimezoneAmerica/New_York

Special conditions

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Anulação

VOID somente quando o resultado não puder ser determinado objetivamente pela regra e pelas fontes aprovadas.

Cancelamento

CANCELLED somente por decisão excepcional de governança auditada.

Interpretation clause

Preservar exatamente o critério objetivo aprovado pelo Admin.

Economic modesPRY Virtual · ACTIVE
COMMUNITY

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