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Market conversation
EconomiaEstados UnidosTRADING CLOSEDBINARY
MARKET IN PLAY

Will the Federal Reserve cut rates at both Q4 2026 meetings?

YES 50%
NO 50%
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Current probability

Probability is discovered by the market and changes as new positions and information arrive.

50%
1M
50.0%There is not enough probability history yet.
Fechamento das negociações
Oct 26, 2026, 6:00 PM
24h virtual volume
— PRY
Participants
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RULES & RESOLUTION

How this market will be decided

Contract · v1
Resolves YES

YES if the FOMC cuts the federal funds target range at both the October and December 2026 meetings.

Resolves NO

NO otherwise.

PRIMARY SOURCE
Federal Reserve

Resolves YES if the FOMC reduces the federal funds target range at both the October 2026 meeting and the December 2026 meeting; otherwise NO.

Fallback source: Reuters / Bloomberg
KEY DATES
Fechamento das negociaçõesOct 26, 2026, 6:00 PM
Expected resolutionDec 10, 2026, 6:00 PM
Open market conversation
View full rules and special conditions

Critical dates

PublishedSep 6, 2026, 2:00 PM
Trading openSep 6, 2026, 2:00 PM
Fechamento das negociaçõesOct 26, 2026, 6:00 PM
Event end / observationDec 10, 2026, 6:00 PM
Expected resolutionDec 10, 2026, 6:00 PM
TimezoneUTC

Special conditions

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Anulação

VOID somente quando o resultado não puder ser determinado objetivamente pela regra e pelas fontes aprovadas.

Cancelamento

CANCELLED somente por decisão excepcional de governança auditada.

Interpretation clause

Preservar exatamente o critério objetivo aprovado pelo Admin.

Economic modesPRY Virtual · TRADING CLOSED
COMMUNITY

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YES
50%
NO
50%
PRYTRADING CLOSED
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The result will be finalized after the event ends, according to the current contract.

Last quote before closeYES 50% · NO 50%
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